The initial clinical picture is not a reliable indicator of future events in mild pancreatitis. Patients with seemingly mild disease may deteriorate rapidly and die.
The Ranson criteria and other severity scoring systems, e.g. Glasgow, APACHE II, enable early diagnosis of severe acute pancreatitis. This can be defined as the presence of three or more of the following criteria within 48 hours of admission:
N.B. the serum amylase value is not one of the criteria.
The mortality per postive criterion:
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